THE NEW HISTORY EYES...Vol.0044（追記版：勝敗の行方）

THE NEW HISTORY EYES

 Presented by hirotsugu nishina Vol.0044…

 "Fuunkyu,the incident of Nagata Castle" (the whereabouts of the winner)

 In September 2021, the Liberal Democratic Party's prime minister decided not to run for the next presidential election. As a result, the selection of his successor was in the midst of the hustle and bustle of the streets, and the factions and the ruling and opposition parties / mass media were mixed with excessive information. Initially, there was a high possibility that Mr. Kishida, Mr. Takaichi, and Mr. Kono would be elected as the three-way president, but just before the announcement, Mr. Noda managed to secure a recommender and announced that he would participate in the war. It became. Looking at the press conferences of each of them, the faces of candidates who are likely to become the next prime minister from the perspective of aesthetic medicine become clear. It was reported that Prime Minister Suga would go to the United States on his way to the United States in the guise of receiving a call from President Biden just before his resignation, but if this is the case, the unreasonableness of the United States' treatment of the Japanese government and the three major Japanese and American governments. The reality of the agreement springs up. Personally, for Japan, which became a defeated country after the war, MacArthur will keep the national polity based on the Emperor's family, and in return, conclude the Japan-US Status of Forces Agreement, the Japan-US Nuclear Energy Agreement, and the Japan-US Security Agreement. rice field. At the same time, it cannot be overlooked how Japan's sovereignty has become more and more distant due to the conclusion of the San Francisco Peace Treaty only between Japan and the United States. Former Prime Minister Abe has never realized Japan's path to a permanent member of the United Nations, despite the fact that Japan's sovereignty has not yet been established. With Mio's resolution of numerous post-war compensation issues, Corona was retired in the middle of his term without permission. This was Mr. Abe's second resignation for his own convenience. It has become known both inside and outside that Prime Minister Suga, who succeeded him, is not the vessel. In the future, Japanese leaders should have people with vessels suitable for their position, and the next face is being watched around the world. I think women should be the 100th Japanese prime minister. Mr. Takaichi thinks that what stands out among the four is the ability to communicate and persuade the country. Although he is 60 years old, he has the strengths of mental strength, unwavering belief and ability to act, and a leader image and determination to listen to the opinions of others. She wasn't shaken at all during her nearly two-hour candidacy press conference, and many, even non-fans, felt her debate and humanity. Mr. Kishida has human virtue and is working hard, but her qualities as a leader are emptied by Mr. Takaichi. Although Mr. Kono is a serious and honest person, he has something similar to Prime Minister Suga in character, and changing his belief in a rolling manner is a cause for concern for many people. Until now, the Liberal Democratic Party had decided to elect the president based on the power balance between the factions, but now the degree of voluntary voting beyond the boundaries of the factions has increased, and the prediction of the presidential election has strayed in the media. I think that candidates with a comprehensive balance of centripetal force and common sense / good sense will be selected. As such, voters have a good opportunity to gauge the level of LDP members and members. It is clear that public opinion cannot be ignored, as the face of the new president will determine the outcome of the general election. Let me give you a bold prediction of the victory or defeat of this presidential election. (1 frame Kono, 2 frame Kishida, 3 frame Takaichi, 4 frame Noda) Zubari top entry is 3 or 2 frames, 3 frames that are gradually getting the parliamentary vote in the playoffs win .. One slot was too popular in public opinion, but the reality is unpopular, and the Koishikawa Union Group pushes for reforms within the party even if it appears in the playoffs, but allergies to it are derived and the number of parliamentary votes decreases May accelerate the spur of. It seems that one slot is boasting the top line without a final vote, but in the first vote it is possible that it is second or third rather than first. It is clear from the press conference that the four slots are running as pieces for the final vote. In the final vote, the number of votes for one slot does not increase, and although two slots do well, it does not reach the majority. As a result, I saw that "3 slots" would win the victory with total power.

 

THE NEW HISTORY EYES

Presented by hirotsugu nishina

 

Vol.0044…『風雲急、永田城の異変』（勝者の行方）

 

2021年9月に入り、自由民主党の総理が次期総裁選に不出馬の意向を固めた。それにより、後継者選びが巷の喧噪の中、派閥と与野党・マスメディアの過剰な情報が交錯し、今後のコロナ禍で日本の為政者の器量が内外で大きく問われる状況になった。当初は岸田氏・髙市氏・河野氏の三つ巴の総裁選になる可能性が高くなっていたが、公示直前に野田氏が推薦人の確保にこぎ着け、参戦を表明し4人の総裁選争いとなった。各氏の参戦の会見を拝見していると、観相医学的な視点から次期総理になる可能性の高い候補者の顔が鮮明になってくる。菅総理が退陣前直前にバイデン大統領からの呼びつけを食らう格好で米国訪米の途に赴くという報道があったが、これが事実だとすると、米国の日本政府への扱いに対しての理不尽さと日米三大協定での現実味が湧いてくる。個人的には、戦後敗戦国となった日本に対して、マッカーサーは天皇家を基にした国体を存続させ、その見返りに日米地位協定・日米原子力協定・日米安全保障協定を結ばせた。併せて、日米間だけのサンフランシスコ講和条約締結で、ますます日本の主権が遠ざかっていった経緯は見過ごすことが出来ないでいる。安倍前首相は日本の主権が未だに確立していないにも関わらず、絶対実現できない日本の国連常任理事国への道筋、ロシアの第二次大戦の北方領土返還・北朝鮮拉致問題、韓国との数々の戦後補償問題など澪解決のまま、コロナ禍では勝手に任期途中で退任してしまった。安倍氏にとっては二度目の自己都合の辞任となった。後を引き継いだ菅首相はその器ではないことが内外で知れわたってしまった。今後、日本のリーダーにはその地位にふさわしい器の人が居るべきだし、次期の顔が世界でも注視推されている。100代目の日本の首相には女性がなるべきだと思っている。髙市さんは4人の中でも群を抜いているのは、国をまとめあげる発信力と説得力だと思っている。なんと言っても60歳とは言え、精神的な強固さとぶれない信念と行動力、周りの意見をよく聞くリーダー像と決断力があるという強みがある。異例の2時間近くに及ぶ立候補の会見でも一切ぶれることもなく、たとえファンでなくても彼女のディベート力と人徳力を感じた人は少なくない。岸田氏は人徳があり、地道に頑張ってはいるが、リーダーとしての資質は髙市氏には水を空けられている。河野氏は真面目で実直な方ではあるが、性格的には菅首相に似たところがあり、信念をコロコロと変えて行くのは多くの国民にとっては不安材料となる。自由民主党ではこれまで派閥間のパワーバランスでもって、総裁の選出を決めてはいたが、今では派閥の垣根を超えての自主投票の度合いが高くなって、総裁選の予測はメディアでも迷走しているのを見ていると、求心力や常識・良識の総合的なバランス力を持った候補者が選ばれることになるだろうと考える。それだけに、有権者は自民党の党員と議員のレベルを推し量る良い機会だ。新総裁の顔で総選挙の勝敗が決まるということになるのだから、世論の動勢は無視できないことだけは明白だ。個人的な今回の総裁選の大胆な勝敗予測を述べてみる。（1枠河野氏、2枠岸田氏、3枠髙市氏、4枠野田氏という設定）ズバリトップ入線は3枠か2枠、プレイオフで議員票を次第に獲得してきている3枠が勝利する。1枠は世論的に人気が先行しすぎていたが実態は不人気で、小石河連合グループはプレイオフに出られても党内改革を押す進める形が、それに対するアレルギーが派生し議員票減少の拍車を加速させる可能性がある。1枠は決選投票なしでのトップ入線を豪語しているようだが、最初の投票では１位どころか二位か三位という事もあり得る。４枠は決選投票への駒としての出馬という性格は会見を見れば明らかだ。決選投票では1枠は票は伸びず、2枠も健闘はするが過半数には至らない。その結果「3枠」が総合力で勝利を勝ち取るとみ見た。