Guessing and forecasting the trend of 2022

 

THE NEW HISTORY EYES

Presented by hirotsugu nishina

 

Vol.0054… "Guessing and forecasting the trend of 2022 AD"

What kind of year will 2022 be? It's possible to make most predictions, but it's pretty self-deprecating, so I'm reluctant to show it here, but I'd like to make predictions personally, so I'll explain it later. The onslaught of the new Omicron corona mutant is unstoppable. The number of infected people in the world of the new corona is approaching 300,000,000. It will reach around mid-January 2022. Since the world population is about 7,000,000,000, one in 23 people is infected. Regardless of whether the preventive vaccine is given three times, four times, or five times, it is expected that the number of mutant strains will continue to increase like mocking humankind. In a situation where clinical trial effects have to rely on the announcements of pharmaceutical companies, human beings who are terrified of infection cannot afford to be effective or ineffective in prevention, so they have to obey them. Especially in Japan, the government has not invested in the development of vaccines and silver bullets, and nothing can be done in its own country. It is a pity that there is no determination or policy to get out of the policy left to other countries. According to experts' announcements, the case fatality rate and severity rate are lower than those of the Delta strain, but the infectivity is several times higher. It seems that a new mutant strain with 46 mutations has appeared in France, but it seems that the new virus is ahead of human thought and has a stronger vitality. I'm worried that it will be a stronger mutant than the Omicron strain. Distrust is spreading in my mind even in the United States, which had made a large investment in the Wuhan Institute of Vessels in China. To be clear, the possibility of a US-China collaboration cannot be ruled out. I know it's dangerous to say things by speculation alone, but when combined with reasoning and guessing, the chances of reaching the truth are not zero. Therefore, in "THE NEW HISTORY EYES", I think that the truth should be pursued absolutely in the sense that it leaves a thorough historical testimony. In Japan, Emperor Showa held 11 meetings with MacArthur, and in return for guaranteeing the preservation and national polity of the Emperor in the Constitution of Japan formulated by GHQ (involving Mr. Whitney), Japan will be the fate of the defeated nation. There is a history of allowing the US military to be stationed in Japan. In Germany, Hitler's dictatorship was dismantled, and although he broke up into east and west for a while, he maintained a healthy democracy, and under the Merkel administration he paid off compensation under the Versailles Treaty over 1992. In Japan, the national polity of the emperor system has changed its shape, but the role of the imperial family lives on in the Constitution of Japan. It is also the reason why Japan could not make the system of democracy sound. I think that the traditional imperial system is necessary in Japan, but first of all, the national polity of sovereign residents should be given top priority. However, even now, even if criticized here, nothing will start even if the influence of the three-point set of the Japan-US Security Treaty, the Japan-US Status of Forces Agreement, and the Japan-US Nuclear Power Agreement is large. Even though the Pacific War had never been a match before the war, Japan's highest commander (Emperor Showa) at that time decided to open the war with the United States. It leaves a great deal of stigma in the future of the Japanese people who have come. There are 130 facilities in Japan, including US military bases (extraterritoriality, not Japanese territory). There is no way for the Japanese side to prevent the border measures of Omicron strains because they are often derived from US military relations. The world order based on the Preton Woods system is unlikely to fluctuate for the next 100 years. Expecting a decent parliamentary democracy in Japan may be terrible. I think it is a good rule violation to not exercise the vote even though I have the right to vote, and the drastic review of the parliamentary compensation system and the review of the election system are self-governing from the victorious country now that the Constitution of Japan cannot be changed forever. I think it is the minimum duty of Japan, which is given only the right. I would like to show you the main personal forecasts for 2022.

1) Proliferation of mutant strains of the new coronavirus will not converge in the next 10 years.

2) Japan's GDP per capita is overtaken by Italy and becomes the lowest in the G7 countries.

3) Shohei Ohtani has fallen into a slump and cannot expect a record like last year.

4) China's democratization movement has sprung up all over the world, and the Xi Jinping system is forced to be reviewed.

5) JRA will not give birth to this year's Triple Crown Horse.

6) The crash of New York stocks begins.

7) A big comet approaches the earth.

8) The global peak oil phenomenon limits fossil energy policy.

9) GAFA is dismantled.

10) The resistance of the new virus will increase, and the efficacy of the vaccine will become difficult.